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Why would anyone give away good tips.

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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Gowran Park 14:50Oscar Sam50/1 (51.00)


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Newcastle 16:50 Dorset Blue 40/1 (41.00)

    365


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Southwell 13:40 Pips Tune 40/1 (41.00)
    Southwell 13:40 Money Honey 100/1 (101.00)
    Southwell 13:40 Rock The Crown 16/1 (17.00)
    Newcastle 15:40 Bobba Tee 9/2 (5.50)

    365


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Newcastle 16:50Vertice7/1 (8.00) 365


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,394 ✭✭✭Beersmith


    Newcastle 16:50Vertice7/1 (8.00) 365

    Worth it @7.00?


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  • Posts: 7,792 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Beersmith wrote: »
    Worth it @7.00?

    5s now - so yeah, it was :p


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Beersmith wrote: »
    Worth it @7.00?
    No, dont take any price drop on quoted price. Esp the lower priced ones cause there is less value in the lower odds ( But still value provided you get the price

    ) As plenty have pointed out there are far too many selections given to get on them all. Not sure how that is a problem. ( Maybe dont do them all might fix that issue :) ) So if you miss one then there is a fair chance there will be another horse. Like everything in life, you wont get value in anything if you too keen to splash your ££


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Doncaster 13:32 Road Senam 14/1 (15.00)
    Navan 15:00 Mr Hendricks 16/1 (17.00)
    Lingfield 13:20 Banoffee 15/2 (8.50)
    Lingfield 13:50 Teddy B 16/1 (17.00)
    Lingfield 13:20 Eyes 7/2 (4.50)
    Lingfield 16:05 Norwegian Red 18/1 (19.00)
    Dundalk 17:30 Sardonyx 14/1 (15.00)
    Lingfield 12:15 Haraz 50/1 (51.00)
    Navan 13:55 Lieutenant Command 12/1 (13.00)

    all 365


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Wolverhampton 17:45 Kozier 6/1 (7.00)


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Doncaster 13:30 Fast Buck 16/1 (17.00)
    Lingfield 13:10 Big Narstie 9/2 (5.50)
    Doncaster 13:30 Est Illic 100/1 (101.00)
    Doncaster 13:30 Eldorado Allen 12/1 (13.00)
    Lingfield 13:10 Merlins Beard 40/1 (41.00)
    Lingfield 13:10 Give em The Slip 3/1 (4.00)
    Doncaster 13:30 Cheddleton 9/1 (10.00)

    365


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Doncaster 13:30 Est Illic 100/1 (101.00)
    Doncaster 13:30 Eldorado Allen 12/1 (13.00)
    Doncaster 13:30 Fast Buck 14/1 (15.00)
    Doncaster 13:30 Cheddleton 9/1 (10.00)

    laddys


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,394 ✭✭✭Beersmith


    Doncaster 13:30 Fast Buck 16/1 (17.00)
    Lingfield 13:10 Big Narstie 9/2 (5.50)
    Doncaster 13:30 Est Illic 100/1 (101.00)
    Doncaster 13:30 Eldorado Allen 12/1 (13.00)
    Lingfield 13:10 Merlins Beard 40/1 (41.00)
    Lingfield 13:10 Give em The Slip 3/1 (4.00)
    Doncaster 13:30 Cheddleton 9/1 (10.00)

    365
    Got them all. So the Doncaster race you are betting for all of the horses except the fav. Anything interesting about the thinking behind that?


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    TBH, I dont put any thinking into it what so ever. Over the course of a mornings betting I have (Or my bots have at least )at times ended up backing every horse in a race :) Watching the correct markets on betfair, num of runners in a race, amongst other things, gives me a far more accurate price for each horse than just looking at the win/place prices which is clearly what the bookies appear to do. Have been collecting data the past 18months on the merits or lack of, in backing horses where there is a hot hot fav. Something like that requires data spread over years before I would start to use it as part of selection criteria. But starting to see a very definite trend. :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Doncaster 16:25 Legendary Grace 12/1 (13.00)
    Kempton 14:35 Skerryvore 33/1 (34.00)
    365


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    FFS, non runner in the 1:30 ...
    Thats always the risk. :( Guaranteed place is gone now.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Kempton 17:30 Zahirah 33/1 (34.00) 365


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Doncaster 15:50 Agamemmon 10/1 (11.00)
    Doncaster 15:50 Mercian Knight 8/1 (9.00)
    Lingfield 16:05 Captain Helmet 66/1 (67.00)
    Kempton 14:35 Inclyne 20/1 (21.00)
    Doncaster 15:50 The Late Legend 7/1 (8.00)


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    scratch that last one, all gone


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Lingfield 16:05 Captain Helmet 66/1 (67.00) still there


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Kempton 16:55 Porto Ferro 50/1 (51.00) 365


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Naas 14:45Master Artist18/1 (19.00) Naas 15:15 Forza Milan 11/1 (12.00) Wolverhampton 12:40Vitesse Du Son9/2 (5.50) all 365


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Wolverhampton 15:10 Ibn Arabi 9/2 (5.50)


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Dundalk 17:55 Brother In Law 12/1 (13.00)
    Dundalk 18:25 Never Back Down 12/1 (13.00)
    Dundalk 16:15 Keepyourdistance 33/1 (34.00)
    Dundalk 17:55 Mo Celita 6/1 (7.00)
    Wolverhampton 18:40 Critical Thinking 5/1 (6.00)
    Dundalk 16:15 Stop On Red 7/2 (4.50)

    365


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Lingfield 14:50 Psychedelic Rock 22/1 (23.00)
    Lingfield 15:50 Jungle Prose 16/1 (17.00)


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Lingfield 15:50 Jungle Prose 16/1 (17.00)


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Southwell 17:10Discomatic10/3 (4.33)Southwell 18:40Fantasy Keeper7/2 (4.50)


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,394 ✭✭✭Beersmith


    Southwell 17:10Discomatic10/3 (4.33)Southwell 18:40Fantasy Keeper7/2 (4.50)

    He is back available at 4.5 now


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Another caveat. Even if a price goes back out to match the quoted price but only after a few hrs it does not make it a good bet. These nags are best done within max of 20 or 30 min after I post them. As basically the markets are telling me that price X is currently a good price for a given horse and so get on him ASAP as there is a fair likelyhood that his price will fall. But unfortunately dont always get it right and the market changes its mind and a horse might even drift out to higher than X after say an hr. And it could be that even at the higher price when the numbers are crunched that a horse is no longer a good bet.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    If there is no late withdrawels then the 17:10 race is looking like has some good value.
    Southwell 17:10 Beyond Infinity 150/1 (151.00)
    Southwell 17:10 Toscan Genius 125/1 (126.00)
    Southwell 17:10 Pride Day 125/1 (126.00)
    All 365


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Rem. Doing these as singles is not going to get you on Bet365s christmas card list. Beyond Infinity went off at 67s :) Did you have him at 151.0? He would have got a few prods in singles if there was any shop open but unfortunately not in the current climate.


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